"2019 10 Ư¡ û"
2019 ϰ̶ ܱ ̶ ÿ ۿϸ鼭, κ ߶ (CROSSROADS) ȴ. ȯ, Ż λ, α ȭ, Ȯ, ѷ پ ·ȸ·ȭ ̽ ΰǸ鼭 ʿ 谡 ִ ȸ ִ. ̿ ųȣ (CROSSROADS) ִ 츮 ġ Ȯϰ Ͽ ΰ ƴ ȸ(Chance)μ ϰ ο ı ãƳ ֵ ְ Ѵ.
ڷ:
2019 Ű (CROSSROADS) Ͽ. ̴ 2019 10 Ư¡ Ÿ ٽɿ ù ڸ ̴.
Common Risk ( λ)
2019 κ ۷ι ȭ 迡 ϸ鼭 弼 ȭǴ ϰ ִ. IMF 2018 4 2018~2019 2018 10 2017 մ 2019 ϰ 鿡 ġ ϰ ִ. ι ȭ Ⱑ ȭǴ , Ĺȿ Һ ü ϶ ɼ ̴ Ǽ SOC , , ε ħü Ҽ ӵ Ǵܵǰ ִ.
Self-Reflection ( ߶ ݼ)
ַ ߶ 밡 Ǹ鼭 ü ൿ ȴ. ߱ ߰ 츮 ַ ϴ ̴. UNIDO CIP (Competitive Industrial Performance Index) ѱ 2014 4 2015~2016 5 ܰ ϶ ݸ ߱ 4 λϿ, 2016 ̱ ߿Ͽ 3 ö ִ. ݵü ϰ ַ κ ֵ ó ؿܽ忡 ϴ ̰ ְ, ȭǴ å ⼺ ū ȭ ǰ ִ. Ȱ Ư پ Ǹ鼭 Ȯ ǴܵǸ, · å з ȭ ǰ ִ. ż嵿 鿡 ܱⰣ ȭ ű ַ 켱 ߵ ǰ ִ.
Oversupply (Ǽ ް, )
Ǽ Ǽ ϴ , ̺о ߱ݸ 濵 ȭ ȴ. Ǽ ٽ ι ֿ ְ ް Ҽ ӿ 2019 Ǽ 繰 ް ǰ ִ. Ư ֱ ̺о ϴ Ҿ ݸ Ǽ 濵 ߵ Ǵܵǰ ִ. 2019 رݸ λ ݸ ǰ ־, ä Ư Ǽ ε Ǹ ̺о ݸ Ǽ ұ鿡 ߵ ǰ ִ.
Productivity of Service Sector ( 꼺 )
꼺 鿡 ° Ȯ ̳, Ҿ̶ ̽ 鼭 꼺 Ѱ輺 ȴ. ð 꼺 ȮǴ ι ȭ ذ ε Ǵܵǰ ִ. Ư 2017 ֿ 뵿꼺 ȭ, Ҹ/ļ, , / ϰ ְ 꼺 ̴ ε/Ӵ δ 1 6,200̸, δ / 1 1,900 Ÿ ִ. 꼺 忡 ѵ Ը ϸ ̶ ǴܵǴ ̳ ֵ 꼺 ɼ . κ 꼺 ȿ Ҿ ȭų ִ 꼺 ٽ ̴.
Sustainable Energy (Ӱ )
ֱ ·ȯ õ پ ·ȸ ̽ Ǹ鼭 Ȯ üȭǰ ־ ȴ. 뿡 ڿ , ̽, ȯ پ ȸ ̽ ΰǰ , ³ȭ ذ źҹⷮ ǹȭ Ǵ , ֱٿ ̼ Ȱ ȯ ̽ ΰǸ鼭 Ӱ·û 䱸 ǰ ִ. ѱ * ٸ ֿ 鿡 ̾ ü 䱸Ǵ Ȳ̴. IEA 2016 ѱ 3% ̸ (29.3%), (24.7%), (17.3%), Ϻ(15.9%), ̱(14.9%) ũ ϰ ִ ̴. ̿ δ ŷ ۾ ⺻ȹ ̸, ֱ ǰȿ ǥ 2017 7.6%( ) 2030 20% ũ Ȯ( 3020 ȹ)ǰ 2040 Ǻ ó 25~40% Ͽ. ް ǥ 밡 dz, ħ ǥ , ΰġ ؿ ۿ뵵 ǰ ִ. ȹ ֵ ¾籤, dz° ǰ(, ESS ) (Ʈ ) ȸ ȴ.
* : ʴ ڿ ̿ϴ (¾籤, dz, , ) ǹ
Restructuring (4 )
ż ָ 4 鿡 ȭ ɼ Ϸ µ ȮǸ鼭 ι ȴ. м BT, , ǻ ȭ ɼ 䵵 ħ Ǵܵǰ ִ. ڵ鿡 , ü, , , ȭ ɼ ټ Ȯ ̴. ȭ ܰ ϰ , ü ٽ ý ̼ Ѱ迡 ϰ ִ ̴. (AR) پ缺 ȭ Ȯ ǰ ְ, κ ̷ ڵ ְ, ̼Ǹ δ ü ȭ ɼ μ Ȳ̴. ̿ ܱⰣ ȭ о߷ ΰ ڱݰ ڿ ߵǰ оߴ ҿܵǸ鼭 ڿ 4 оߵ ǰ ִ.
*̱ ڹȸ Ʈ(Gartner) ų ‘ű Ŭ ’ ߰ϰ , Ŭ ű ð ǥ 5~10Ⱓ ȭ ֵ Ʈ带 ݿϰ
Demographic Onus (α ʽ )
ѱ ȸ α ʽ(Demographic Bonus) ô뿡 α ʽ(Demographic Onus) ô ȯ ̷鼭 Ÿ ȴ. 갡α(15~64) ްϰ ϸ鼭 뵿 ̷ ʾ ϶Ű ֵ ۿϰ ִ. 갡α 2016 73.4% 2020 71.7%, 2030 68.0% ϸ鼭 ַ 뵿 ǰ ִ. α ʽ ô뿡 ϸ鼭 Ǵµ 켱 ‘ߴ ’ κ, IT, ַڳ ȴ. ݸ α ʽ 뵿 Ÿ ‘ ’δ , Ҹž, 뵿 Ǽ ̴.
ASEAN (Ƽ ȸ )
ASEAN 츮 鿡 ȸ ̳, ÿ Ϲ ũ Ȳ ۿ ̴.IMF ASEAN 5% ӵ /GDP 2018 1.3% 2022 0.3% ǰ ִ. Ư /GDP 2% ũ ϴ Ȳ̴. ۷ι IT ASEAN ߵǾ ִ ֱ Ⱑ ȰȲ ̸鼭 Ȱȭ ǰ ִ. ASEAN ε ڵ ȮǸ鼭 ̴ ǰ ִ. ٸ ֱ ƽþ ߱ ǰ ־, 鿡 ־ Ϲ ũ ۿ ɼ ϰ ִ. ASEAN Ȳ ȭ IT, ö, ȭ, Ǵܵȴ.
Diffusion (뵿 Ȯ)
ֱ ӱݻ· 뵿 ϸ鼭 ڵȭ νýȭ Ȯ ȴ. 2% Ĺݿ ũ ұϰ ӱݻ· ̰ ִ. ̷ ӱݻ· ӵ ֱ Ȳ Ǿٱ⺸ٴ 뵿 õ ȭ ٰ ũٰ Ǵܵȴ. 忡 Ϲ 鿡 뵿 ڵȭ νý Ȯϴ ɼ ٰ Ǵܵȴ.
the Soaring K-Wave (ѷ )
ֱ ѷ , ϴ ȭ Ȯ ۵Ǹ Ư ε ѷ . ȭüο ѷ 1.0, 2.0 3.0 ġϴ зϰ ִ. ѷ 1.0ô(1990 Ĺ~2000 ߹) <ܿ↓>, <> ƽþƿ ū α⸦ 鼭 ԵǾ, 2.0ô(2000 ߹~2010 ʹ) K-POP Ҽȹ̵ ü ƽþ Ӹ ƴ϶ Ϻ , ī, ߵ, ߳, Ϻ ̱ α⸦ Ǿ. 3.0ô(2010 ʹ ) 2012 Psy Ÿ 2013 źҳ ū α⸦ , ֱٿ ߹ȭӸ ƴ϶ 빮ȭ, پ о߷ ѷ Ȯ ߿ ִ. ⿵ ü 2011 ڸ ̸ Ȯ밡 Ǹ鼭 ǰ ִ.
û ȸ! 10
۷ι ȭǴ ũ DZ Ȳ κ Ϲ ũ Ȯ ȴ. ַ Ϻ ϰ Ⱑ ȭ ־ Ȯ ִ · ٵ ȴ. Ư Ϻ ް ־ ұ ߽ Ⱑ Ȯ ɼ 䱸Ǵ Ȳ̱ ϴ. ȯ, Ż λ, α ȭ, Ȯ, ѷ پ ·ȸ·ȭ ̽ ΰǸ鼭 ʿ ִ Ⱑ ִٰ Ǵܵȴ. 2019 ο Ϲ ũ ַϸ鼭 ‘ ٽ ’ ‘ο ߱ ı ’ ؾ ̴. ̸ ؼ õǴ 10 ָ ʿ䰡 ִ.
볻 Ϲ ũ -> ݴƲ ȭ 濵 ȿ Ȯ
Ϲ ũ ɼ Ͽ ȭ ȭå ߽ å 䱸ȴ. ̱ ߽ ȣǰ Ȯ ϹǷ ֿ ɼ ο å ؾ ϸ, Ը ȹ 濵 ȿ Ȯ ַؾ ̴.
ַ» غ -> · ִ å Ȯ ڸ ٽ Ȯ
å ȿ Ȯ ̾ ִ ⸦ ؾ ϸ, Ͽ ý ϰ ̴. ٰ ٽɱ Ȯ ΰ R&D Ȯ, ȭ , R&D ƿҽ ° , ̵ پ 䱸ȴ.
°, Ǽ Ȳ ɼ -> Ȯ 濵 ý ʿ
ε 忡 ٿ ǰ ʿϸ, ΰ ħü ֵ Ȯ븦 ʿ䰡 ִ. SOC · ؿ پ ǰ SOC 䱸ȴ. Ǽ鵵 庸ٴ ַ 濵 ؾ ̸, ̸ ؼ η¿ , ä Ը Ȯ ַؾ ̴.
ȭ -> ȭ ġ R&D Ȯ븦 꼺 ַ
庮 ʿ䰡 ִ. ΰġ â ȫ, ˼ α , Ʒ ȿ ϰ ߵ 뵿 ġϰ ȿ Ȱϱ ؾ ̴. Ư ´ μƼ Ͽ ȿ ٽ ں Ȯ븦 ؾ ϸ, R&D Ȯ ÿ ΰ R&D ִ å ʿϴ. غϰ ܿ Ȯϱ ι ߽ ؿ ϰ, ȭ · ؾ ̴.
-> ַ, Ȯ
κ ִ Ӽ ؼ ǰ ִ ‘ 3020 ȹ(2030 20%)’ Ȯ Ǿ Ѵ. ̸ ؼ ƴ϶ 뿡 а, پ ǰ Ͽ 븦 ϰ ȯ ֵ ؾ ̴. Ȯ 鿡 ٶ ñ Ȳ̴. ȮѴٴ ǥ , ǰ 뿡 ΰġ ؿ, · żӼ Ȯ ȴ. , ұ R&D ȭ ٰ å ǰ Ʈ ȭ ̴.
ű·Ż ȯ Ż -> ѱ · Ҽ ż嵿 ַ
4 ο б ̵ dzϰ ̷ б ġ ̳, ż嵿 Ϻΰ Ǵܵȴ. Ÿ ʰ Ż ٶ Ҽ ű ߱ϰ ϴ 䱸ǰ ִ. Ư ‘ַ ’ ‘Ż ’ ǥ ÿ ִ ʿϴ.
α ȭ -> η ε 뵿 ȭ
뵿 ϱ · 縳, ü Ȯ 뵿 Ȱ Ѵ. ֵ ڸ ֵ ȸ Ǹ ܰ ӱũ ȮѾ ̴. ܱαٷ ȥ̹, ڳ ȸմå ܱ η ʿ䰡 ִ.
ﱹ ۷ι ڱ ̵ ⼺ ȭ ɼ -> ȭ
۷ι 帧 ֽϸ ﱹ ǹ ȭ ũ 溸ý ʿϴ. ο ΰ Ǿ ִ ũ 溸ý ɷ¿ ˿ ַؾ ̸, Ư ﱹ , , ũ ʿ䰡 ִ. ó ƾ ÷ ɷ ˵ 䱸ǰ ִ.
꼺 ӱ -> ұ ڵȭ ڿ 䱸
ڸ â õ̱ å 뵿 å ߾ ̴. ַ» ѵ Ȳ 꼺 ϶Ͽ ۿ . 뵿 Ȯ ߳뵿屸 , ذ , 豸, (꼺=ӱ) Ȯ ñ Ȳ̴. 뵿 ؼ ICT Ȯ , ұ Ʈ丮 Ȯ 濵 ⸦ غ ִ ⸦ ؾ ̴.
ȭ ѷ Ȯ -> ° ַ ȭ ǰ ̾ ִ
ȭ ȭ ѷ ȭ ܰ Ȯ ʿϸ, ÿ ѷ ȭϿ ѷ ۷ι Ĵȭ ؾ ̴. ѷ ѱ ȿ ̿Ͽ 귣 ǰ 迡 Ϸ 䱸Ǹ, Ư ڿ ߱ϰ ̸ ȫϿ ܱ 並 ִ 䱸ǰ ִ.
<۱ڨ 'öƽ̾' - .>
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